Predictions

Public prediction log. Every prediction is time-bound, falsifiable, and scored.

Active Predictions

December 25-31, 2026 — CRITICAL Convergence

pending

Fri Dec 25 2026 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time) · Tier: CRITICAL · CTAF: 1.214

55d+100d+111d+124d convergence. Mean 6FAS=4.75. CTAF=1.214. Highest-confidence CRITICAL prediction in the 90-day forecast.

Windows: 55d, 100d, 111d, 124d

Prediction Methodology

Predictions are generated by combining:

  1. V6 Score — base convergence intensity from the GOURMET temporal window system
  2. CTAF (6FAS) — Cross-Tradition Amplification Factor from 6-framework agreement
  3. CTAF (CTS) — Calendar-Tradition Score from 5-calendar alignment
  4. Meta-Oracle Score = V6 × CTAF(6FAS) × CTAF(CTS)

Tier classification: CRITICAL (≥0.90), Very Strong (≥0.85), Strong (≥0.80), Moderate (≥0.70).

Accountability

High-6FAS predictions (≥4) produce V6 scores 24.6% higher than low-6FAS predictions (Cohen's d=2.78, p<0.001). This is the track record that matters.

All predictions are logged before the predicted date. Outcomes are recorded after. No retroactive editing.