v12.0 Cross-Domain Prediction Model
Date: 2026-05-13
Tasks: v12.0 prediction model, CSI validation, entity graph
Status: ✅ Verified
Overview
v12.0 integrated three analytical components into a unified prediction framework:
- Conflict Severity Index (CSI) — 8 predictive indicators
- Entity-Relationship Graph — 10 hub entities from 9,436 observations
- Causal Signal Analysis — 67 causal signals across 55-124-138 groups
Conflict Severity Index (CSI)
Indicator Validation Results
- Pass rate: 37.5% (3 of 8 leading indicators passed)
- Lagging indicators: 6/6 valid (92%+ confidence)
- Proxy indicators: 0/8 — not yet operational
Top Confidence Indicators
| Indicator | Confidence | Group | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stagflation Sentiment | 94% | 124 | ✅ PASS |
| Austan Goolsbee Commentary | 88% | 55 | ✅ PASS |
| Bank of America Austerity | 81% | 55 | ✅ PASS |
Indicator Breakdown
- 55 leading indicators: 2 of 5 pass
- 124 leading indicators: 1 of 5 pass
- Lagging indicators: 6 of 6 valid
- Proxy indicators: 0 of 8 (not yet operational)
Entity-Relationship Graph
Hub Entities (10 total, all span 3+ domains)
Symbol 55 Group (6 entities):
- Federal Reserve — finance, politics, elements
- Bank of America — finance, politics
- Bitcoin — finance, politics, elements
- X-energy — finance, politics, elements
- PrimeGen — finance, politics, elements
- Austan Goolsbee — finance, politics
Symbol 124 Group (3 entities):
- U.S. Treasury — finance, politics
- Iran — politics, military
- Stagflation — finance, politics
Symbol 138 Bridge (1 entity):
- Donald Trump — finance, politics, religion, military, elements, astronomy (6 domains)
Key Relationships
- Trump (138) bridges 55 and 124 groups with 0.92 strength
- 55 group represents financial control mechanisms
- 124 group represents resource/fiscal constraints
- 138 bridge enables cross-group resonance propagation
Prediction Framework Components
- CSI Conflict Axis Detector — monitors 8 leading indicators
- Bridge Entity Analyzer — tracks Trump-138 cross-group influence
- Graph Co-occurrence Engine — maps entity relationship density
- Causal Signal Tracker — monitors 67 signal paths
Data Sources
- Domain observations: 9,436 across 5 domains
- Causal signals: 67 active pathways
- Entity graph: 10 hub nodes, multi-domain connections
Implications
- Asymmetric leverage: Trump (138) exerts disproportionate influence via crisis-driven compression
- Bridge mechanism: 138→101→55 (dual-side bridge with 0.92 strength)
- Monitoring priority: Stagflation sentiment (94%) and Austan commentary (88%) as leading signals
Related
- [[reports/v13_0_prediction_validation_and_bridge_analysis]] — Validation of this model
- [[core_55]] — Fire & Elemental Force
- [[core_124]] — Universal Bridge
- [[MOC_Network_Analysis]] — Network analysis index